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three weeks left before the u.s. goes over the fiscal cliff. >>> italian shares are down nearly 3% this morning. for the most part, it is bank stocks leading the way down. we're now down about 2.76% on the ftse mib. bank stocks have been hit particularly hard this morning. earlier, we saw shares down 5.6%. we're seeing the same thing, whether it's bmps hitting session lows down nearly 6% comes amid concerns about leadership and economic reform in italy following mario monte's announcement that he'll resign once the budget has been passed. this move is likely to bring the country forward to elections next year. the italian prime minister has offered no clue as to whether or not he will run and it comes after sylvia berlusconi declared over the weekend he would throw his hat in the ring for the job of premier. carolyn ross is in italy following the details there. can you walk us through the time frame here? when are we expected monte to step down? what happens next? >> good morning to you, kelly. here is the time frame for you. over the next few weeks, we're expecting the budget sta
fit and she stays active. >> just part of a taxpayer funded ad campaign from the u.s. department of agriculture encouraging seniors to get on food stamps because they will make you look better. we have more news on the food stamp front that will make you angry and that's later in the show. with the tax and fiscal cliff looming 21 days from now, is there a reason for even some slight optimism this evening? joining us now in studio, we welcome distinguished house members carolina maloney of new york and larry kudlow's house member in manhattan. and the republican from arizona. as always, welcome to both of you. dave, let me ask you this. i'm hearing a lot of this that there is a strategic retreat by the republican party. 57b and that they are not either in the house or senate going to block the middle class stax tax cuts which proliferate in terms of the bill. is that true, sir? >> i haven't been invited into the strategic retreat caucus. look. i hear more on the news than i ever actually come across in reality in d.c. so far, i do not see a willingness, particularly on the conserv
next year is likely to be a bit better next year here in the u.s. and globally. >> susie: we saw that treasury yields rose, and is this a signal to get out of treasures and to put your money into stocks? this has been a safety area for most investors. >> it sure is. i bought a bond and it went up, and why do you want to take this away from me. but i believe in the premises of your question. if, in fact, the economy is a little better, and the financial risks are a little bette th's a recipe for very low interest rates, for a mild increase in interest rates, which means bond prices go down. i would not be overweight in the treasury area. i would have modest weights and have the rest made up in equity, susie. >> susie: bob, thanks a lot. we look forward to your 10 predictions in 2013. we'll be talking to you about that. robert doll as nuveen as asset manament. >> susie: there was a new twist today in the samsung-apple saga over patent disputes. samsung electronics dropped a critical lawsuit banning the sale of apple products in euope. the good news helped put some shine on apple sh
surprise to everybody. >> this is a very strong number. i think only u.s. government now can stop this kind of job growth. a fiscal cliff go over -- >> snatching victory from the jaws. >> a superstorm. nothing can stop the generation of jobs in this economy. >> there's a great article today in one of the papers about how apartment building, we have a shortage of apartments and shortage of housing and shortage of autos and shortage of office buildings developing, shortage of shopping centers, shortage of shopping malls. this is what begins a movement. you have to hire eventually. now you could say people are not looking for work, come on. look, jobs are here. they can -- it can be just easily reversed if you have no idea what is the future because of washington. >> given the data points that we've had in terms of claims numbers that did reflect an impact from sandy, they said 85,000 jobs or 86,000 jobs were sliced because of impact of sandy. average hours worked unchanged. doesn't that -- i don't know -- doesn't that bring into question a little bit the participation in the survey. how can i
price in recession and the prospect of a down grade of u.s. debt once again, back on the table. bob, head of fixed income for vanguard with about three quarters of a trillion dollars under management in money market and bond as sets. bob, i don't know how you sleep at night given the pressure of handling that much money. think about that often. good to see you. >> good to see you. dagen: bob, what do you think of what's happening? washington? what happens in the bond market if recession becomes more likely? >> well, clearly, volatility kicks up a lot, and you're going to see decline in treasury yields and probably a rise in the spread differentials of corporate bonds and other credit backed bonds relative to treasuries so it's not going to be a pretty picture for our bond holder. you know, that said, they are ultimately going to fix this, by they will put us through hell in between. dagen: bob, looking at the -- all the classes of fixed income, the out performance over treasuries in all grades of corporates, even in municipal bonds, but particularly, you start looking at the lower g
. the only place you have it is overseas. europe looks stable compared to the u.s. right now what does that say about our dysfunctional system? it says our dysfunction is our competitor's advantage in this market and that is sad. >> amen to larry. that was well said. i don't think i can add anything. >> for the average investor watching right now, any advice? >> no. i think that what's going to happen is there will be refl reflexive knee-jerk reaction higher if one of those two things i said happen. the market was up quite a bit since mid-november. the small-cap his been up 9.5% until the sell-off and they'd given a lot of that back, but there was a lot of good feelings priced in, and to me it's not that awful for us to take some of that off. i think the next month will be choppy and whipsaw, but 2013, there are a lot of good things going, housing market, china, japan. i would buy some things. >> guys, got to cut you off. larry, you'll get more time next time, promise. see you later, jim. >>> we're all over the fiscal fiasco. tune in to cnbc this sunday night. yep, we're working the we
november same-store sales, global comps up 2.4. u.s. same-store sales up 2.5, offered by breakfast offerings, including that cheddar/bacon/onion sandwich, as melissa mentioned. jim? people are saying the u.s. maybe is making a turn here. >> i find mcdonald's is levered to new products, levered to menu technology. they do invent things. my hat's off to janet. they had this number last week. reminds people, again, they've been right down, and up. mcdonald's is one of those things where joe asked me from squawk when we were talking, i said, i think this is a for real term. if they continue to innovate. i may this may not be your cup of tea, burger, but innovation s higher. >> they tried to sell it to consumers as opposed to their extra value menu, which is a little bit higher price point. that combined with these product innovations, they're very cognizant of margins when they're trying to push iced mixed drinks. the sandwich -- which i've not tried. >> you said cheddar/baconburger. >> it looks like they're going to remain modest at best. margins are going to be a bigger piece. i thin
it blasted off the west coast and the u.s. military which monitors the activity of that isolated nation says it looked like an object was placed into orbit. so let's get up-to-date. chris lawrence is at the pentagon. >> we're getting better and new information about that north korean launch. u.s. officials now saying that the satellite that north korea put into space is now in polar orbit. norad has been monitoring it with its space sensors. remember, they tried a rocket launch earlier this year back in april. they did not have much success. this is the first time they have seen all three stages of that rocket launch work and be able to put a satellite into orbit. it sounds very benign, putting a satellite into orbit is not something that you would think of that has military connotations. but the same technology that you use to put a satellite into orbit is really the same kind of technology that you would use to build a long range nuclear missile. >> and the timing appears to have been some kind of surprise to u.s. officials. how worried is the pentagon right now after this launch? >> well,
and putting it to work. the u.s. economy is simply much stronger than we thought just a few quarters ago. second, these deals show that there are ceos who are willing to give up or share their empires in order to make money for their shareholders. oh, cramer, these people are so rich. i know they're not sacrificing financially. that's not the point. the target ceos will all do well but these guys are empire builders. finally, even as the sale of the stock indicates in a symbolic way, these deals show the companies are listed -- that are listed themselves are often worth far more than they're currently trading for. that's not an aberration. it happening marketwide. think about it. we have a financial brokerage company, right, stocks and oil service company, a tech concern and an insurer's business bringing out value virtually overnight. here's the bottom line. we can be riveted and saddened by what's going on in washington or angry, the refusal of all politicians to rise above their milieu or we can be constructive and search for the opportunities that are right there in front of us, in m
? >> yes. >> they would have to get a lot of cashes from overseas by the way. you hear cash at u.s. corporations, a lot of it is overseas. repatriation tax holiday is not part of any negotiations we've been hearing about. >> not at all. >> an area that's a no go. so that is an important part of the calculation. if you can't bring that cash back and goldman says this. this is not something they think is going to happen. >> do you remember when steve brought seagate private. it was brimming with cash. raised the dividend next week. why doesn't michael dell pay out a special dividend and everyone is thrilled. >> fundamentals are still what? >> fundamentals are -- i mean, look. fundamentals depend upon a belief that the personal computer is going to be with us for a long time and is not that much in decline. ipad will not crush it. i don't know. >> why not redistrict some of that free cash flow and that cash into an area where you think you can attain real growth. try to recreate the company in some sort of significant way. >> i think that -- >> it's not easy to do that by the way. >>
have marginal movement, the cac up 4.2%. the ftse 100 up above .23%. >> u.s. equity futures at this hour -- whoa. hold it. >> what are you looking at? u.s. equity futures. >> it's okay on. didn't we already do this? >> i don't care. i really don't. the new prompter is giving you fits. and yesterday, it ended with a -- did you see that one yesterday? a word ended with a n and the next one i introduced the like like t. boone pickens or something like that. >> we have a new teleprompter and it adds words. >> that's special. >> and people that, you know, that's where we get all of our info, right out of that baby there. anyway, futures are up 14 points. 13114 is where we are right now. i don't know. fiscal cliff is three days away and we're still above 13,000. that's what we're talking about. you would think if the growth was going to flow based on us going over the cliff, you would think oil would start to weaken. we haven't seen that much in that respect, either. as far as the ten year, stable at 98 of 6719. finally, gold -- i don't know. bernanke is on full 85 billion a month
and losses have been picking up in the last hour or so as we've seen renewed concern about the u.s. fiscal cliff whether a negotiation could be reached. we saw some optimism in the asian session overnight. i want to draw your attention to the most important story potentially for 20123 and that's what's happening in japan. you guys may recall yesterday it was up .9%. this market has been on a tear this year. it's up more than 20 one of the best asset classes. the yen continues to weaken. there's two reasons why we're focusing here. we got weak economic data out of japan. industrial production decline. we saw core consumer prices decline. we can show you, though, what's happening with the yen. we're seeing the new finance minister coming out and saying to other countries, you know, look, we're not trying to materially weaken our yen and you have no place to accuse us of doing so. he says a strong dollar policy would benefit the u.s. very much so. and, again, might benefit japan, too, because that will make it a lot easier to get that yen lower. today, the dollar/yen is up .2% because it's im
it is manufacturing, but is there really a demand question about apple's products that is a real one? >> not in the u.s., but there could be some questions about china, remember that report from steve milanovich? he said apple needs to come up within some real innovations, you need to have some clarity on the pipeline, and you need geographic -- clearance to go into china? yes, it got it with two of the smaller carriers. china confirms talks with apple. but the problem here, he says tech is not an issue, it's mainly about the business model and benefit sharing issues. that could be a problem. >> he is also playing the part of what many analysts are doing, which is let me explain why it's going down, in the same way that the death cross, i always love the death cross, this is a technical term. i can think of a million reasons to sell it. the only reason i want to own it is because it makes the best products in the world and it's inexpensive. >> that's a lot of people looking at the chart. >> look again, the people who own apple, they were the ones who owned it because it was going up. it reminds me very
on and take a look at some other data here. what's the biggest threat to the u.s. economy? slow job growth, 9%. moving on here to the next one, the euro crisis, that's come way down, 11%. the next one is going to be 33%. the winner, the fiscal cliff, 35%. what are people saying about the fiscal cliff? we have people write in, and i believe that's what we'll look at next. we'll look at the probability of a u.s. recession. that has come up. in part because of the fiscal cliff concerns. it was 19% back in march. a high of 36%. so we're halfway between the low and the high pretty much. this is a 13-month high for the probability of recession. now we want to show you what people are saying about the fiscal cliff, allowing the economy to go over the cliff would be extremely reckless, says donnelly. they're going out to try to help the unemployment rate. wall street doesn't believe it's going to happen. they do believe it will help lower mortgage rates and the unemployment rate and not a lot of help expected for the stock market. melissa? >> steve, thanks for that. that's interesting stuff there. >>
growing criticism over the last several weeks because of the way that she portrayed the u.s. consulate in benghazi. she blamed an angry mob, not a terrorist attack by al qaeda. rice has said that she was working off of information she had at the time, but republicans largely led by senator john mccain have accused her of misleading the american people and said because of that, they wouldn't support her nomination. it was that pushback that led her to give a letter to the president saying that she did not wish to be considered. she said she believed the confirmation process would be long, lengthy and disruptive and just not worth it to the country at this time. president obama did accept that decision, and then said that he regretted it but also said that it spoke to her character. she will likely continue to work close w closely with the president, either as his u.n. ambassador or as his security adviser. he will likely now nominate senator john kerry. larry? >> many thanks. on top of the susan rice story, we are also learning tonight that retired nebraska republican senator chuck hage
, a larger theme of excess capitalization at u.s. corporations, and the fact that so much money is sitting on balance sheets doing nothing. >> did you read oracle? how much money do they have. they bought back 10 billion worth of stock. these companies, you read through their stories, and you say, not only did they not extend themselves during this downturn, they conserved a lot of cash. by the way, humans did, too, in america. have you seen the numbers that the federal reserve put out last night about how much money is being -- how little debt is being taken down by citizens. we're back to levels of the '90s. federal household debt service came out last night. the percentage of disposable income is 14%, down to 10%. that's 1994 levels. >> that's a big part of morgan stanley's call on citi today. from overweight to equal weight. consumer deleveraging in their view coming to an end. and the more clarity on regulations. we are exiting this really weird period of uncertainty. rules come into focus. and if these consumer balance sheet numbers are right. next year could look different, jim. >>
's been a gang buster year for the markets. unfortunately, the average u.s. investor out there has largely been on the sidelines. money in bonds, money into money market funds continuing to flow in the month of november. unfortunately, even as we do see a very, very good year for the stock market, not many investors are really taking part in this. >> i think we saw finally an outflow for bond funds in well over a year last week. that has been a rarity. we've warned many of our viewers, be careful of the duration risk. we're going into another year where many people are at least saying, okay, is the rally over? the 30-year rally in bonds, is it over? if it is, what is it going to mean? we've had people saying that the last three years. everybody's best trade was to short the long bond. it ended up being one of the worst trades you could make the last couple of years. >> in terms of being careful, speaking of being careful, today will be light volume, shortened session, but light volume. who knows what that could lead to. if you wanted bury bad news, christmas eve is the perfect day to do it
of the u.s. markets this morning. our road map today starts with the fed announcing a new round of stimulus as chairman ber bernanke warps the fiscal cliff is hurting growth. house speaker john boehner expected to talk on the cliff talks 11 a.m. eastern time. >> told you this week, of course, they were talking actively, now, sprint/nextel offering to purchase the other half of clearwire it doesn't own. >> surges of best buy surging on reports that the founder is on the verge of making a formal takeover bid. >> and google maps has found its way back into apple's operating system. >> of course, we have to start off with the markets. dow's five-day winning streak has been snapped, despite the fed announcing a new round of stimulus. chairman ber bernanke say worries about the fiscal cliff are resulting in softer business environment and waning growth. members of congress told not to make plans for the christmas holidays, citing the urgency of striking a deal to avoid the fiscal cliff. the speaker set to given a update out state of negotiations with the white house in two hours. we will bring br
in toronto as the nfl continues to move to expand its base outside of the u.s. a couple weeks ago, we had two new york jets fans. but now it's a couple more. great game between seattle and pittsburgh. >> did that guy get his pants pulled off? >> certainly did. my question to you, you got -- wasn't it nance and phil sympathies? >> yeah. >> don't you say, wow, there's a full moon today? don't you say something? >> i had to back it up on the dvr. >> was it immature to say -- i backed it up to show -- because we were laughing so hard. do you just not ignore -- >> it says something about our maturity levels. >> does it? and they're month march temperature? >> i felt bad for the player, i did. >> i did, but thank god it wasn't a full frontal. it was a full moon back. i would have said something. i wonder whether nance and simms should have just -- >> were they looking at it? >> they needed a joke. >> you needed to reference it. >> when they played the replay, they played it from a different angle. >> i think they -- come on, guys. in my entire life, i've never seen anything like that before. >> was
, stabilization in europe and the u.s. at 2.7% gdp growth is a little stronger to handle this, so that's why i think you want to be buying on this. >> everybody wants to buy. so many people -- you want to be bullish, but these guys in washington, and gals in washington, give you so little reason to actually be bullish. you're right. the corporate sector you know, loaded with cash, fundamentals turning positive. >> but this is the big difference from last year, last summer where the economy was so fragile. we were in such a fragile state last suggest so it was easy to tip us over. now we're a little better here in the states but a lot better in china, and a little bit better in europe. >> we've got to get to jim. >> because of the contrarian view, jim, is once we get a deal, we sell right into the deal. >> yeah, that's right. i'm going tonight skunk at the garden party here, and i'm geg going to tell you i never thought we'd get a deal. throwing rocks at each other. more likely we won't get a deal. the economy is as bad as last summer, looking at 1.5% growth for the fourth quarter, maybe the sa
as a result of antitrust here in the u.s., a americaning of the two equity platforms of nasdaq and nyc. nyc kept as it, and my reporting is, let's call it september or so, right at the end of the summer, early fall, an overture was made to the nyc about a potential deal. discussions continued at that point and continued for a number of month ending with this morning's announcement from the two of them that they did in fact have a deal. fair >> david, what i'm hearing is that the cme group wanted to offer an even higher bid for the new york stock exchange. however, with this clearing agreement that the nyse has agreed to with i.c.e., that's probably not going to happen at this point, this is the deal that nyc is going to go with because apparently cme approached the ceo in the last couple of months, but it was probably too late. the nyc went ahead with i.c.e. and had been too further along. the question now, bob pisani, what happens with the other exchanges, hong kong, nasdaq? what are we seeing next in terms of the next target in the exchange space? >> well, at the very least, it's helped i
sectors. equities is kind of a global shorg an board, if you will. but they like the u.s. best. and in currencies, blackrock is all about being a dollar bull. so where specifically are they putting all that money to work in light of fiscal cliff? take a listen to what bla blackrock's robert casid 0 to me. he manages the firm's $3.7 trillion in assets. >> does this mean we good over the fiscal cliff. >> it is a very high likelihood it does or 11:59 on december 31st with a lot of hoopla. but tax rate are going to go up. there is a going to be a conclusion to this. even if it waits until the last minute. even if it is in january, what it is going to mean is slow growth. it may mean that we lose the entire first quarter because everybody is still worrying and talking about the issue. and here we go, clients again, investing in a time when they need to be invested. >> he also thinks if we go over the cliff it might trig ear recession. what about the fed? as you know, it announced those big moves today. tying any move in rates to the unemployment rate. are we in a bond double? we wil
and david faber. we're live from post 9 at the new york stock exchange. a vacuum here in terms of u.s. economic data. none on top today. we're looking at a flat open across the board. as for europe, movement there. the buyback of greek debt will in fact work. we're seeing just fractions of a percent in terms of changes there. our road map this morning starts with the latest in the fiscal cliff negotiations. the white house promptly rebuffs the gop counterproposal which calls for $800 billion in new tax revenue but without tax rate increases for the wealthy. could this tax issue deadlock the talks? >>> bank of america ceo warns the cliff must get stalled or the economy could be stifled well into 2014. >>> even more dividends pushed into 2012. coach, american eagle moving up and oracle will play out three-quarters of dividends this year. >>> more strength in housing this morning. toll brothers earnings top expectations. we'll begin with the fiscal cliff. governors are set to meet today with the president and congressional leaders. governors are concerned about the impact of deficit redu
place to be once they settle this thing. the third and the most important thing is the u.s. economy is the most vibrant, adaptable, innovative and creative economy on the planet. i think that means we're coming out and starting to see that in many sectors today. we're bullish and think you need to look at this on a positive frame. >> maria, i'm less bullish than that. that sounds very optimistic. i would love to believe that, but if you compare valuations of equities versus bonds, yes, there's a huge spread right now, but that doesn't necessarily make equities really cheap. it's just a relative trade. i think, also, yes, we're a vibrant economy. we certainly are a strong economy. i think it's really unsustainable, the level of debt that we have in this country. we have $1 trillion in debt. i heard an incredibly succinct way of describing this. rick santelli actually said it this morning about how you can't say you're cutting $800 billion when really $80 billion is really from wars that are just going away. that's not really a cut. that's taking away the addition. i think you need to
the great recession with flying colors. about 30% of the dealers in the u.s. went under during the recession. isn't that extraordinary? but brunz week's dealer remained flat. they held in much better than the competition. they used the economic weakness to take share. plus the company took out $450 million in fixed costs during the downturn to come out even stronger than ever. that's the brunswick we're dealing with today. second, if higher taxes going forward mean there's slightly less demand for motorboats and fishing boats, you know what? i think that could be more than offset by the additional demand created by all those boats that sandy damaged or destroyed. and even before sandy, things were getting better for brunswick. over the last decade, the age of the average powerboat in the water has gone from 15 years old to 21 years old. wow! i thought cars at 11 years was a lot. that means there's a ton of pent-up replacement demand. we saw the same thing happen in the automobile market where the average car on the road got so old that it has led to a new surge. that's what that $15 million
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. mary thompson is at the big doi. the dow staged and pulled lower today by u.s. senator harry reid and the idea that the markets would send the markets higher in late trading and even though the gains latt in the kay were trimmed. mitch wok nell tock to the fleb vp strategy. the weaker performers were financial, materials as well as utilities among the sectors offsetting late-day games we saw in discretionary and staple stocks low on initial consumer sentiment and the cliff. home builders today finished something very good. november home sales for strong continue once again. of course, now all eyes to this weekend to see what hang will done about the cliff. back to you. >> if, at all. thank you, mary. housing is clicking on all cylinders right now. home prices up nearly 7 boston this year making it the first yearly gain we've seen in housing six 2006. that's unbelievable. >> it is unbelievable. >> look the november numbers. 14.5% jump in existing home sales. mary mentioned the 15% increase in new home sales. mortgage rates still close to all-time lows right now. >> with all that po
third choice. u.s. first, europe second. and i think there is more beyond with the government having an emerging plan. this is just taking a long period of time and i think that will continue on to next year. >> a very interesting guy, robert kapito. you just heard him say that his choices in order were u.s., then emerging markets, then europe. if you were to follow that advice and put money into the u.s. market, give me a couple of names would you look for for 2013. >> first of all, you want to buy names that cater to all of us that have less money. let's talk about one of those names. mcdonald's and costco. mcdonald'scaters to a letter budget crowd. obviously they have a huge emerging market expansion as well. and they seem to be capturing market share from starbucks. they've enrolled in juices and try to capture market share from jamba juice. >> a horrible luxury. not a luxury. but affordable food. >> correct. now let's go to affordable food. costco, you go to the back and there's the milk. but you have to go through the middle section. the middle section is what people buy, the h
results ever in america. the ceo of the u.s. division will join us exclusively to talk about how he plans to keep those sales motoring along and whether he is hiring. >>> speaking of hiring, with millions still out of work, why are manufacturers having a tough time filling new positions? phil lebeau searching for answers? wheeling, illinois. >> tyler, the answers will surprise you. at this plant, the ceo says i would hire ten people immediately if i could. guess how many applicants he has for some of the jobs right now? zero. we'll explain why when "power lunch" returns. music is a universal language. but when i was in an accident... i was worried the health care system spoke a language all its own with unitedhealthcare, i got help that fit my life. information on my phone. connection to doctors who get where i'm from. and tools to estimate what my care may cost. so i never missed a beat. we're more than 78,000 people looking out for more than 70 million americans. that's health in numbers. unitedhealthcare. >>> jobs are front and center today despite an unemployment rate hovering near 8%
first failing. we won't go over the cliff and stay there. it won't be a blow to the u.s. economy at all, in my judgment, and the economy is going to move on through this. >> can you invest in the markets today without considering the fiscal cliff? >> yes. >> is there a strategy to go forward. >> i just tried to ortic lays and saying to yourself it won't ind mine the economy so i'm going to v.on the fundamentals, growth, competitiveness and earnings and so forth depending on the situation. i think investors would be wise to look beyond the fiscal cliff because all the fears it's tomorrow doing the economy are misplaced. >> most economists have said if we go into 2013 without a deal we'll go into recession. >> we might have into 2013 for three days or knife days or a week before there's a deal. that's about it. the pressure from financial markets will be too great so the scenario that you just referred to to, we go over the cliff, had and the economy sinks. i want to emphasize that cannot happen. >> let me move on to another topic. timothy geithner has said he's not returning for another
, a u.s. investigation finds more evidence about how walmart used payoffs allegedly in mexico to advance its gold down there. it's tuesday, december 18th, 2012. "squawk box" begins right now. >>> good morning, everyone. welcome to "squawk box" here on cnbc. i'm becky quick along with joe kernen and andrew ross sorkin. our guest host this hour is julia sed. fiscal cliff negotiations, our top story. now president obama is proposing leaving lower tax rates in place for everyone except those earning $400,000 and above. that's above the $250,000 threshold that the president has been demanding for months, but it is still far from speaker john boehner's request of $1 million. a source familiar with the talk says this is by no means the final offer for the white house. the move by the president was welcomed, albeit with some reservations. we will talk about the latest developments in just a few minutes. in the meantime, the global markets seem to be taking note of the optimism. you can see right now that those dow futures are up by 54 points. this comes after a decent rally for the markets yeste
's take a look at the u.s. futures set up for the open first of the week. dow looking at about 50 points right after the open. as for the action in europe, taking its cues from the united states. we'll see a big rally in china extending one of its biggest rallies in three years. we have a mixed bag in europe with italy up by about .2 of 1%. >> we'll do our best to keep focused on the business day. we'll be following the tragic shooting in connecticut, of course. the new york stock exchange will hold a moment of silence to honor the victims in the next few moments, and we'll be looking at the president's call for meaningful action and the politics of gun control. >> let's get to a road map for this morning. it starts with apple. under pressure once again. even dipping below $500 a share at some point this morning. shares will remain range bound near term. iphone 5 sales and cannibalization among the region. >> other concessions from the gop, the speaker proposing tax hikes for millionaires. could this be the tipping point. moving the talks beyond deadlock. >> a big week for earnings. yes,
are on track to post best u.s. sales ever. today they increased 39% for the month of november. shares of automakers, despite positive news from ford, they were all down today. so, that's the latest with the automakers. by the way, we're expecting the monthly sales pace to come in above $15 million. we'll get that number here shortly. >> interesting story there. a lot of numbers moving up. thank you, phil. we've seen the sales numbers, but what about the stocks. how do you invest in this group? which automaker could have your portfolio shifting into high gear? we start talking numbers right now. looking at versus ford. carter worth, fundamental, steve cortez, always nice to see you. carter, check it out. tell me about the charts and the technicals. what do the charts tell you, gm versus ford. >> the first chart is a comparative chart, just that, gm versus ford. very clear optically, 75% correlation. the truth is, we like them both. they're both bottoming out, if you will. they're both heretofore weak stocks improving. each has acted very well while the market was selling off in the se
general motors buying $5.5 billion worth of stock from the u.s. government's t.a.r.p. program. and it was at a price $2 above where gm traded yesterday. that's right. we, the people, got a better deal than we could've ever hoped for just the day before. gm most likely would have been liquidated, putting more than 1 million people out of work. if the federal government hadn't bailed it out. nobody likes a bailout. people don't like to use the phrase bailout and the government isn't going to be made whole in this investment. i'm saying that point-blank. that's because it's so gigantic. the simple fact is also not only does gm exist, but it was capable of throwing off $5.5 billion to repay some of the t.a.r.p. investment. this thing was at death's door, now it's thriving, just like aig which also shouldn't have come back, but it did. those are two 2012 success stories that explain how robust corporate america really is and how unheralded that development is. what else? how about that the united states is producing more oil than any time in the last 17 years and producing enough t
, joins us next. ♪ aww man. [ male announcer ] returns are easy with free pickup from the u.s. postal service. we'll even drop off boxes if you need them. visit usps.com pay, print, and have it picked up for free. any time of year. ♪ nice sweater. thank you. ♪ [ male announcer ] when diarrhea hits, kaopectate stops it fast. powerful liquid relief speeds to the source. fast. [ male announcer ] stop the uh-oh fast with kaopectate. >>> let's go back to dana bash monitoring developments on capitol hill. dana? >> that's right, martin, talking to democrats now coming out of their nearly two-hour meeting talking about the talks are and we now have the number two democrat in the senate, dick durbin from illinois. thank you very much. can you give us a reality check of where things stand and more importantly, if you really think that a deal can be done pie the clock striking midnight tonight or even tomorrow night? >> the original down tours talked about present a problem in reaching an agreement. i understand the conversation is going to continue, as it should, between the leaders in the
of potential violations of the u.s. foreign corrupt practices act that we began more than a year ago. walmart is conducting that massive internal investigation in conjunction with the department of justice and s.e.c. that's in the wake of that previous article published back by the "times" in april which were so damning. the investigation focuses on whether or not they violated the foreign corrupt practices act. they started the investigation a year ago, remember, because "the new york times" began approaching them for comment about the investigation that they were doing themselves. why it started long before the article came out. guys, back to you. >> michelle, we had a big debate before the show whether or not the "times" added anything new, other than grtheir granularity. >> you didn't see any direct lines drawn from what was happening in mexico to any current executives at this point. this article did not even mention eduardo castro, who was head of walmart-mexico at this period of time, and who is definitely one of the people in focus at this time. but i think the granularity adds a lot
intellectual, too. >> opec and the fed, hey, u.s. production up. let's go to sharon epperson at the nymex. >> oil has really been on the move since the open a few minutes ago. not so much opec, which still packed with the current quota around 30 million barrels per day, it is producing more than that. but we are hearing, of course, from opec itself that saudi arabia has reduced its production in november to the lowest level in a year. so that seems to be a way that they will adhere closer to the current quota. we're also looking at the latest report from the international energy agency which may have more of an impact where oil prices are going in this session. they're looking for slightly demand in 2013. and they're pointing to china for the reason. we're anticipating we'll get the report from the energy department at 10:30 a.m. on oil supplies. the expectation is for a slight decline in food supplies. but we did see a major build in the industry report, if that is confirmed we could see these gains short-lived. back to you. >> all right. thank you very much, sharon epperson. we've got a
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the fundamentals of a pretty good economy in the u.s. if we don't do things that are self-inflicted but that's what we're doing. >> right. ultimately that is what we're faced with. we're faced with fiscal forces that could undo a lot of that. but rick makes a good point with the volatility. we were voting on t.a.r.p. which would produce liquidity for the market. we have the backdrop of that. so i think these initial bursts, you know, they're not going to be as volatile as that time period but i still think we could pick up steam. look, ultimately if we start a trend lower, we saw volatility after the presidential election. we saw what happened, a thousand points came off the dow at a very short period of time. i think people are being lulled into complacency starting to think, well, we don't have that. it is not like it was. it could very well be very quickly. so again, i'm not trying to cry wolf. what i'm trying to say is people should be prepared. selling is not this evil thing. this protection, making sure they have levels at which they would get out. >> craig hodges, you are buying what you per
is constrained. i'm hearing booking is returning to normal after sandy, after a hit for them. those stocks up. u.s. airways up. southwest has been on fire recently. finally, the insurers. first down day in a long time. in the last couple weeks, generally all of them have been to the up side. this is the first down day in about two weeks. back to you. >> thank you so much, bob. >>> watch out for year end window dressing. we're not talking about the lovely holiday displays. we're talking about what some money managers do to their portfolios to drum up better returns. >>> then -- >> we relied on audited financials. not exactly brand x accounting firm. >> hewlett-packard ceo meg whitman putting d, liotte in the line of fire. the ceo will sit down with us. >>> finds out from the ceo of ppr about what he's expecting for christmas. you're watching "the closing bell" on cnbc, first in business worldwide. if we want to improve our schools... ... what should we invest in? maybe new buildings? what about updated equipment? they can help, but recent research shows... ... nothing transforms schools like invest
are not as bad with fiscal cliff. china not as bad as we though, u.s. very strong. so nike, if it goes back to 97, it means we're going to have a real bad couple of days in my view. look at red hat. red hat is a technology company that is deeply involved in the cloud. they, too, had a better than expected number, as did oracle in the cloud. so these are my two tales for the trading today, david. if you pick the best of the best and they go down, you'll really have a couple of -- >> when it comes to the so-called cloud play and the use of it in the competition here, is that one of the key names? >> yes, it allows you to manage cloud in a cheap -- an anti-microsoft business. their partner is sales force.com. i'm really using these as tells. in other words, these are the ones where there's natural buyers. as we just found out how good things are. it wasn't like we found out a month ago. we just found out last night. if they have resilience, the market is going to be more resilient than people think. if they give up the ghost, i think next week's going to be difficult, too. >> all right. we'll be wat
, and the use of medical technology in the u.s.? at t. rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. he's going to apply testosterone to his underarm. axiron, the only underarm treatment for low t, can restore testosterone levels back to normal in most men. axiron is not for use in women or anyone younger than 18. axiron can transfer to others through direct contact. women, especially those who are or who may become pregnant, and children should avoid contact where axiron is applied as unexpected signs of puberty in children or changes in body hair or increased acne in women may occur. report these signs and symptoms to your doctor if they occur. tell your doctor about all medical conditions and medications. do not use if you have prostate or breast cancer. serious side effects could include increased
u.s. mint director. do you have any -- any feeling, any sort of inside feeling, if you like, about what's going on over there? >> yeah, you know, i've been there before, and can i say that all the parties truly wanted to come to some type of resolution, but they have kicked the can down the road so many times it's all the solutions that are left are extremely difficult ones with huge political and economic negative consequences, so from my perspective they are having so much difficulty trying to come to agreement. i'm shaving a little bit off of this year's deficit. we're going to have fiscal problems for as far as the eye can see, an here's where an investor, a smart investor is going to want to diversify, especially into things like tangible assets like gold. >> you're going to make the case for gold here, which, you know, has had a heck of a run for the last decade or so, but it has started to show signs of wear and tear. what would propel gold from here necessarily? >> well, two things that i would have your viewers take a look at. the first is the reason why gold has kind of f
is falling apart and the u.s. looks pretty darn good by compareson, you need a stock that gives you domestic security, something that's entirely confined within our borders. because if those moments being exposed to the rest of the world is downright dangerous. what do i mean by domestic security? anything that's usa all the way. you can own a phone company like at&t or verizon. pick a regional to national restaurant chain like duncan brands or dollar store like dollar general. how about a real estate investment trust, tanger factory outlets, you've seen those companies on over and over. why? because they have been winners or just own the iyr. don't like ets. but the point is in terms of international turmoil this slot shutting tipped by something all domestic and when the world is in much better shape, which is where we were after the financial crisis, then maybe you'll want to own a foreign company. bottom line. always own a stock that's from a safe geography. sometimes that means a foreign company. sometimes just got to always pay attention to the facts, pay attention. it means the domest
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